COMMENT: Journey is prone to return. We’ve got to plan for it! | Opinion

By Ian M. Ollis

MANY individuals discuss and write concerning the lasting results of COVID-19 on journey habits. However researchers over many many years and throughout continents have studied journey patterns, and analysis suggests that individuals prefer to journey and have a tendency to journey about the identical period of time every week, even when every day routines or circumstances change.

Even international disasters prior to now have seen a bounce again in transit and automobile journey in nearly all instances, albeit over time.

Victor Shafer studied journey habits and printed his ends in 2000, which confirmed that individuals appear to have about the identical journey time “funds”. It doesn’t matter what measures are taken or what crises happen, individuals will on common journey the identical period of time, though it’s unclear why.

Cesare Marchetti in 1994 and Yacov Zahavi in ​​1974 discovered related developments. Others have additionally studied this phenomenon.

Earnings varies, journey strategies fluctuate, velocity and distance fluctuate, however the time all of us select to journey every week or month appears to be fairly fastened, consider it or not. This phenomenon must be studied additional, but when this sample holds, it signifies that we will solely redistribute human journey however not meaningfully scale back it completely.

This has vital penalties for the way we deal with congestion from a political perspective. This could imply that call makers and transport planners can transfer the time when the journey takes place, the mode of journey, the locations l or the journey velocity, however might not have the ability to scale back the overall quantity of journey.

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