Tremendous Bowl LV may be billed higher as the best of all time in comparison with his heirs as a result of all you’ll hear in regards to the subsequent two weeks is six instances Tremendous Bowl winner Tom Brady in opposition to 25-year-old wonders Patrick Mahomes making an attempt to return to again.
Chiefs opened as 3-point favorites at FOX Wager on Sunday for the primary Tremendous Bowl the place a group may have a house area benefit, with the overall over / beneath setting of 56.5.
I am already betting on Chiefs, even on that quantity, and I am going to clarify why.
Sure it Bucs will play at Raymond James Stadium, and thus they’re fortunate sufficient to sleep in their very own beds and eat do-it-yourself meals for 2 weeks.
Nonetheless, there isn’t a option to quantify what it’s actually price. Keep in mind, the Tremendous Bowl is a really company enterprise, and it is not like the world may have 90 p.c Tampa followers.
For me, there’s something with rather more worth: The assembly of those groups week 12 two months in the past.
Kansas Metropolis rolled in a massacre, however the finish end result (27-24) makes individuals suppose the sport was shut. That recreation confirmed how troublesome this matchup can be for Tampa, and that – plus a coach I can be coming to quickly – is why I am over KC
In Week 12, the Chiefs jumped to a 17-0 lead within the first quarter on the energy of Mahomes and Tyreek Hill. Tampa Bay made the error of making an attempt single protection – Carlton Davis on Hill, and Mahomes attacked him early and infrequently. Hill had seven passes for 203 yards and two touchdowns within the opening quarter.
The Chiefs performed principally with the meals within the second half, however they nonetheless led 27-10 on their manner into the fourth quarter earlier than two late Tampa TDs supplied a deceptive finish end result.
This is the second factor: Tampa Bay defensive coordinator Todd Bowles likes to flash – second most within the NFL this season – however Mahomes is impenetrable to flash.
The Ravens, for instance, tried this season. It was a colossal failure as a result of Mahomes is so correct (31-of-42, 385 yards and 4 TDs) and essential. He completed within the prime eight in passing laps (1,226) and TDs (8) beneath strain this season, per Professional Soccer Focus.
The most effective technique is to hurry up 4 defenders and play zone and preserve the quick litter in entrance of you. The 49ers made it profitable in final yr’s Tremendous Bowl earlier than being worn out within the closing eight minutes when Mahomes delivered.
In fact, the protection doesn’t have the endurance for loss of life with 1000 Travis Kelce 6-yard routes, in order that they cheat, after which Hill or Mecole Hardman beats them deeply. Chiefs are so stacked.
One factor to observe for Kansas Metropolis crimes is the road. At one level in opposition to Buffalo, Chiefs had been down 4 beginning strains and left deal with Eric Fisher suffered an Achilles harm
Spagnuolo’s Chiefs’ protection fully entangled Buffalo’s efficient offense in AFC title recreation, blitzing Josh Allen repeatedly and retains Buffalo to a landing through the first 55 minutes of the sport. Allen was fired 4 instances and had 5.2 yards per recreation.
Tampa has killed some tales throughout this playoffs. The Bucs turned the primary group in a decade to win three straight playoffs and advance to the Tremendous Bowl, beating the long run Corridor of Famers Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers in back-to-back weeks.
What persons are not saying: The Bucs acquired 21 factors from turnover in New Orleans and 14 in Inexperienced Bay. Their has been a really random run. Mahomes has two interceptions in seven playoff video games (252 passing makes an attempt).
The race for the Bucs ends at residence, and my early guess on the rating is 34-24 Chiefs.
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